地方高校专业课程思政建设存在的问题及应对策略研究

课程思政是高校以习近平新时代中国特色社会主义思想为指导,落实立德树人的根本举措.近年来,高等教育向普及化迈进,诸多问题也随之而来.课题组对吉林省地方高校进行调研,结合调研数据分析高校的专业课程思政制度建设、教师对课程思政的认识与教学能力、学生对课程思政的认同度与学习兴趣,探究高校专业课程思政建设存在的问题,并提出相应的解决策略,期望能给地方高校的专业课与思政课同向同行以启示和借鉴.     

农业数字经济财政投入效率的门限效应

如何提高政府投入效率促进农业数字经济高效发展成为一个重要命题.理论上,政府投入农业数字要素极大地促进农业发展,但财政投入过度也会造成效率下降.基于独特的县域农业数字化程度、农业农村信息化财政支出、农业总产值等数据,采用门限回归模型验证上述假设.结果表明:农业数字经济发展中政府投入效率存在最优区间;就全国整体而言,在农业数字化发展程度介于25.5％～34.7％时,财政投入效率最高,达到每万元财政投入带动农业总产值增加154.2万元;目前约7％的县财政支出处于合理水平,约63％的县财政投入不足,剩余30％的县财政支出过度.为此,建议投入不足或过度的县要调整财政支出额,实现合理的农业数字经济规模,提高财政投入效率,引导社会资本投入农业数字经济建设,优化政府资本和社会资本的合理配置;同时,对投入合理的县,要进一步调整政府投资结构,加大大数据等无形资产投入,提升农业数字要素的杠杆能力.     

林业结构改革的日本实践:背景、措施与启示

集体林业产权制度改革是奠定我国集体林业市场经济体制的基础性工作,是促进我国集体林业生产经营可持续发展的制度性保障.已有的研究主要着眼于集体林改的规范性的理论研究和实证性实践研究,与国外的相关比较研究鲜见.我国集体林业所有制和日本民有林的性质极为相近,且均为小规模经营,具有较强的可借鉴性.日本推进林业结构改革政策是在林业与其它行业收入差距不断扩大,山村人口急剧流出,低价进口材打压日本国产材,林业生产经营环境不断恶化的背景下展开的.自1964年《林业基本法》实施以来,日本展开林业结构改革,先后采用完善立法、体制、机制和政策,严格制定计划和标准,构建融资平台,采取差异性措施等手段,奠定了日本林业现代化的基础.借鉴日本经验,我国集体林权制度改革应该立足国情,加强理论研究,完善和健全法律法规,把握林业生产经营特点,注重林改"硬件"和"软件"改革同时并进,加强林改工作的计划性和科学性,明确实施主体的差异性,构建系统的管理协调机制等.     

Copula‐based semiparametric analysis for time series data with detection limits

The analysis of time series data with detection limits is challenging due to the high‐dimensional integral involved in the likelihood. Existing methods are either computationally demanding or rely on restrictive parametric distributional assumptions. We propose a semiparametric approach, where the temporal dependence is captured by parametric copula, while the marginal distribution is estimated non‐parametrically. Utilizing the properties of copulas, we develop a new copula‐based sequential sampling algorithm, which provides a convenient way to calculate the censored likelihood. Even without full parametric distributional assumptions, the proposed method still allows us to efficiently compute the conditional quantiles of the censored response at a future time point, and thus construct both point and interval predictions. We establish the asymptotic properties of the proposed pseudo maximum likelihood estimator, and demonstrate through simulation and the analysis of a water quality data that the proposed method is more flexible and leads to more accurate predictions than Gaussian‐based methods for non‐normal data. The Canadian Journal of Statistics 47: 438–454; 2019 © 2019 Statistical Society of Canada     

一笔循环金圆了姐妹们的创业梦

Shuangjiang County(in Lincang City),situated in the mountainous areas of Southwest China's Yunnan Province,is inhabited by the Lahu,Wa,Bulang and Dai minority groups.In the past,the county's economic development was negatively affected by its poor transportation infrastructure.With funding provided by Beijing Lenovo Holdings Charity Foundation,the China Women's Development Foundation(CWDF)in 2018 initiated the project of Raise Her Business Plan-Revolving Fund for Mothers'New Ventures,in Shuangjiang.Under the project,local impoverished women receive small Ioans to start businesses.     

上海家政服务业发展调研报告

面对广阔的家政市场需求,上海应当积极抓住机遇,通过扶持若干龙头企业,优化家政服务市场环境;充分发挥行业协会的协调引领作用,做好行业标准建设与自律;培育一支理念先进、眼光深远的高素质职业经理人队伍,深入推动家政服务品牌化发展;提量增质,不断引入更多从业人员,提升整体从业人员素质,建立以服务质量为核心的规则秩序.同时,还要重视家政服务业的法律法规建设,充分保障各方的合法权益,促进上海家政服务业健康发展.     

“四史”教育融入高校思政课教学的五维逻辑进路

历史照亮过去，历史启迪未来。以党史、新中国史、改革开放史、社会主义发展史为核心内容的“四史”教育，是以历史为基础的思想政治教育。从党史、新中国史、改革开放史、社会主义发展史中挖掘思想政治理论课教育资源，对高校传承红色基因、落实立德树人根本任务具有重要的指导意义。以庆祝中国共产党成立100周年为契机，将“四史”教育融入高校思想政治理论课教学，必须遵循相应的逻辑理路：树立正确党史观、坚定理想信念的价值追求是融入的逻辑立场；强化大历史观、理解党的伟大贡献是融入的逻辑方法；坚持内在统一性、把握“四史”教育的整体性逻辑是融入的基本前提；抓住侧重点、精准对接各门大学生思想政治理论课程是融入的逻辑核心；坚持实践逻辑、引导大学生从“四史”中汲取智慧和力量是融入的根本遵循。     

An additive–multiplicative mean model for panel count data with dependent observation and dropout processes

This paper discusses regression analysis of panel count data with dependent observation and dropout processes. For the problem, a general mean model is presented that can allow both additive and multiplicative effects of covariates on the underlying point process. In addition, the proportional rates model and the accelerated failure time model are employed to describe possible covariate effects on the observation process and the dropout or follow‐up process, respectively. For estimation of regression parameters, some estimating equation‐based procedures are developed and the asymptotic properties of the proposed estimators are established. In addition, a resampling approach is proposed for estimating a covariance matrix of the proposed estimator and a model checking procedure is also provided. Results from an extensive simulation study indicate that the proposed methodology works well for practical situations, and it is applied to a motivating set of real data.     

Midwifery management of second-degree perineal tears in New Zealand: A cross-sectional survey of practice

Background

Second-degree tears are the most common form of perineal trauma occurring after vaginal birth managed by New Zealand midwives, although little is known about midwives’ perineal practice.